Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 5.080155 6.062094 7.152486 8.448743 9.943130 11.607167 13.595436
2025-02-16 3.547673 4.774148 6.276742 8.235244 10.700715 13.680077 17.528928
2025-02-23 2.554177 3.820332 5.509101 7.887568 11.105626 15.257442 20.958818
2025-03-02 1.887753 3.108527 4.865557 7.513805 11.325097 16.519852 24.021957
2025-03-09 1.513276 2.713403 4.559450 7.508133 11.977646 18.352106 27.943096
2025-03-16 1.242331 2.410982 4.321609 7.537244 12.640555 20.212945 32.016500
2025-03-23 1.025182 2.146212 4.087801 7.518479 13.197337 21.931262 35.983469
2025-03-30 0.808639 1.831467 3.710891 7.198833 13.219558 22.811243 38.726419
2025-04-06 0.679771 1.653088 3.538497 7.191929 13.731836 24.470332 42.761287
2025-04-13 0.569305 1.485849 3.355766 7.133899 14.136426 25.968399 46.623896
2025-04-20 0.523121 1.447093 3.413452 7.522296 15.351459 28.882134 52.962543
2025-04-27 0.471099 1.382929 3.408047 7.784315 16.354673 31.498416 58.961319
2025-05-04 0.430190 1.339214 3.444201 8.143503 17.591533 34.642250 66.118693
2025-05-11 0.366779 1.222802 3.302971 8.122520 18.104377 36.549928 71.283449
2025-05-18 0.297735 1.071626 3.054982 7.839898 18.072341 37.465293 74.759818
2025-05-25 0.237627 0.926970 2.793811 7.487802 17.855948 38.010528 77.590530
2025-06-01 0.204335 0.853669 2.695613 7.488771 18.361223 39.937280 83.034144
2025-06-08 0.177207 0.791854 2.615563 7.520051 18.929589 42.017015 88.872980
2025-06-15 0.152247 0.729148 2.520986 7.502072 19.385500 43.900687 94.441477
2025-06-22 0.121932 0.635040 2.318141 7.183272 19.136589 44.354028 97.291725
2025-06-29 0.105083 0.587078 2.240986 7.176463 19.594329 46.266459 103.072218
2025-07-06 0.089464 0.537865 2.149701 7.118567 19.924855 47.932449 108.450683
2025-07-13 0.085272 0.538373 2.217809 7.506256 21.350698 51.983823 118.793279